Wednesday, November 10

Property Market Updates (8th November 2010)

En bloc market still active
Eight collective sales - they include Pastoral View in Bassein Road and Glenville in Lim Tua Tow Road - totalling $369 million have been completed since Aug 30. But at least five sites where tenders closed after that date have struck out with buyers. The five are Maison Royale in Surrey Road, Newton View, Selegie Centre, Amber Glades near Marine Parade and 13 shophouses in Owen Road. All are freehold developments. Experts said most of the owners are either negotiating private treaties or deciding whether to go for a second tender process. Jones Lang LaSalle's head of investments said the collective sale market has started picking up momentum. Collective sale sites going for under $100 million seem to be the one area where buyers - usually boutique developers - are still prepared to put their money down. This could be due to their more affordable prices and the relative ease of garnering the 80 per cent support level from owners compared with larger developments. Seven of the eight successful sales since Aug 30 involve smaller sites priced at less than $100 million. Bigger sites can be expected to hit the market next year, after the dust has settled from recent changes to en bloc rules, which have extended the sale process for some larger developments. Collective sale transactions have hit $975.6 million so far this year. And residential collective sales - at $883.6 million year-to-date - account for more than 90% of the total, with sales predominantly in upgrader locations such as Balestier and Toa Payoh in District 12, Geylang and Eunos in District 14 and Serangoon and Hougang in District 19. In contrast, there was only one successful collective sale last year - that of Dragon Mansion for $100.8 million. The rise in popularity of collective sales can be due to 'improving fundamentals of the Singapore property market and the widening gap between new sale and resale prices for residential property'.



- The Straits Times, B22

ERC snaps up Prime Centre for $103m
Hong Leong Group is understood to have sold freehold Prime Centre on Middle Road for $103 million or $1,415 psf based on existing net lettable area of about 72,800 sq ft. The 16-storey building is about half-vacant but that should suit buyer ERC Holdings group just fine as the private commercial school operator is said to be planning to renovate the property for use as an educational hub and hotel. The group's ERC Institute runs tourism and hospitality courses among its academic programmes. DTZ brokered the sale of Prime Centre through a private treaty deal. Market watchers say it makes more sense for ERC to renovate the existing 18-year-old office block rather than to tear it down and redevelop the site since Prime Centre's existing gross floor area of 94,657 sq ft reflects a plot ratio of 4.69 on its site area of 20,162 sq ft - exceeding the 4.2 plot ratio allowed for the site under Master Plan 2008. The site is zoned for commercial use. It has 73 car park lots. DTZ has also brokered the sale of nine Singapore industrial properties this year for a total of nearly $366 million to Sabana Investment Properties (SIP), which is expected to list the syariah-compliant Sabana Reit by year-end. About $4 billion worth of office investment sales is estimated to have been transacted so far this year.

- The Business Times, P1


Corporate earnings up 35% in Q3
Corporate earnings for the third quarter have swelled by some 35 per cent compared to a year earlier, boosted by better-than-expected earnings at the Singapore banks, based on the companies that have reported their earnings so far. By last Thursday, 94 companies listed on the Singapore Exchange had released their results for the three months to Sept 30. They recorded a combined $5.04 billion in net profit. Of these, 90 firms turned in profits, while four reported losses for the quarter. Among the profitable firms, half or 45 firms reported an increase in net profit in Q3 compared to a year earlier.

- The Business Times, P8


One-stop personal finance portal
Trying to find the best way to invest his money was the spark that prompted Mr Giora Kanner to start the personal finance portal MoneyLine.sg. Tired of going through several different websites to find out about the various financial products available, he decided to create 'a single point of reference'. Mr Kanner, MoneyLine.sg's chief executive, said other online financial portals in Singapore present only one to two products. But MoneyLine.sg will offer a wide variety of products - including home loans, credit cards and online investment platforms available here - from about 25 financial organisations. By the first half of next year, it aims to include insurance products as well. The portal, which starts operating today, allows consumers to specify the product traits they are searching for, then presents the most relevant products. MoneyLine.sg is aimed at Internet-savvy users aged between 30 and 45, who earn enough to make a financial decision.

- The Straits Times, B21


Indonesia - Twitter taking Indonesia by storm

Twitter usage in Indonesia has skyrocketed over the last two years. An estimated nine million people have accounts, going by Internet market research firm Comscore, which in August estimated that one in five Internet users in Indonesia uses Twitter. This puts Indonesia just behind the United States - and ahead of many developed countries - in terms of sheer user numbers. Unfettered freedom of expression in Indonesia and a growing number of smartphone users have aided Twitter's rise. About 65 per cent of the nation's population of 234 million own handsets, and many use them to surf the Internet.

- The Straits Times, P15


Exchange Rates (extracted from xe.com)

1.00 SGD

=

0.77 USD

1.00 SGD

=

5.17 CNY

1.00 SGD

=

2.40 MYR

1.00 SGD

=

0.48 GBP

1.00 SGD

=

863.40 KRW

1.00 SGD

=

34.16 INR

1.00 SGD

=

6,927.05 IDR

ST Index change: 3,264.04 (+23.73) *As at Mon 8 Nov 2010 09:28 AM
SIBOR (3 mths):
0.
43889 (S$)

SWAP (3 mths): 0.25757 (S$)

Property Market Updates (6th November 2010)

Far East top bidder at Woodlands site

FEO has lodged the top offer in a six-way bidding battle for a Woodlands site. The firm tendered $105.1 million or $333 psf ppr for the 99-year leasehold plot at the junction of Woodlands Avenue 1 and Rosewood Drive. EL Development is the next highest on $100.9 million. BS Capital, Sim Lian Land, TID Residential and Ecco Development, with the lowest bid of $73 million, were also in the hunt. Far East is planning to develop a five-storey condo incorporating some townhouses on the site. CBRE Research executive director Li Hiaw Ho estimates that Far East’s bid price would translate to a likely breakeven cost of about $650-700 psf. ‘The project will likely be launched above $800 psf,’ he added. In the subsale market, units in the low-rise Rosewood Suites (under construction) were sold at $650-700 psf in the July-September period. In the secondary market, units in Woodgrove Condominium (also a low-rise project) changed hands at $560-675 psf while those in the Casablanca and Rosewood condo (these are mid-rise developments) were sold at $620-750 psf over the same period. The site is a stone’s throw from the Singapore Sports School and about 1km from the Singapore American School. It is also around 700m from Woodlands MRT Station.

Far East executive director (development and planning) Chng Kiong Huat said: ‘We envisage a five-storey condominium development that will incorporate some townhouses, designed to complement the low-rise set-up. Buyers will have a choice of one to four-bedroom units and townhouses which will come with private terraces, roof gardens and dedicated car park lots. ‘This is an area that Far East Organization is familiar with, having developed a number of successful themed residential projects there such as Casablanca and La Casa executive condominium as well as a collection of New England-style houses within Woodgrove Estate popular with American expats with children attending the Singapore American School next to it.’

- Mediasources

Small size, big draw

Small studio apartments might be a tight squeeze for some, but they have punched above their weight - and size - by achieving record prices, even in less glitzy areas outside the city centre.

These so-called shoebox apartments, typically less than 500 sq ft in size, first made their presence felt around 2006 in mainly prime districts. The Robertson Edge project off Mohamed Sultan Road is one example. But the trend has since spread to regions outside the central area.

In fact, a 474 sq ft apartment at The Scala, near Lorong Chuan MRT station, was sold for $1,522 psf - or about $720,000 - in August, according to caveats lodged with the URA. Experts said this was likely to be a benchmark price set for a 99-year leasehold project outside the central region. Another two similarly sized apartments sold for $1,467 psf and $1,437 psf last month. Other apartments which have fetched high prices include a 484 sq ft unit at 99-year leasehold project Optima@Tanah Merah, which sold for $1,280 psf, or $620,000, in September. A 420 sq ft unit at Siglap V - also outside the central area - transacted at $1,584 psf, or $665,000, in August, while a 409 sq ft unit at Suites@Changi sold for $1,379 psf, or $564,000, in September. Both projects, however, are freehold.

Experts said buyers are drawn to the more affordable investment prices of shoebox units, compared with those of family-sized homes. The rising prices of Housing Board flats might also have nudged some to buy private properties at comparable prices instead. The success of earlier shoebox developments, which have enjoyed capital gains in line with the market and higher rental yields, has also fed the trend, they added.

A CB Richard Ellis report last month said about 10 residential projects featuring predominantly small-format units will be launched in the next few months. With the exception of one, all the sites are in suburban areas like Telok Kurau, Siglap and Eunos. 'Buyers of shoebox units are mixed in profile, but are usually singles or couples without kids, who do consider renting out the units... although the majority do not mind using them for owner occupation should there be limitations in finding the right tenants,' added Mr Ong.,Shoebox units also achieve slightly better rental yields than larger units because of their lower prices. Robertson Edge, for example, fetches a rental yield of 6.6%, while the average yield for a centrally located condominium is 3% to 4%, he said.

- The Straits Times, B16

Local firm wins global high-rise prize

Home-grown architectural firm Woha's Bangkok condominium tower, the 230m The Met, is proving a towering success in more ways than one. It has just won The International Highrise Award (IHA) 2010 - the first time that the biennial prize has been won by a local firm. The US$132-million (S$170-million) building beat a top line-up of four other finalists: the 828m Burj Khalifa in Dubai; the 492m Shanghai World Financial Center; the 262m Aqua Tower in Chicago; and Tokyo's Mode Gakuen Cocoon Tower, which stands at 203m. The finalists were selected from 27 worldwide entries. A feature of The Met is that its apartments have been designed for residents to go without air-conditioning if they wish, thanks to its clever cross- ventilation. The 370-unit structure, completed in 2009, has greenery on all its 66 storeys. Balconies have private planters. The IHA is given to a building that stands out for its special aesthetics, pioneering design, integration into its urban context, sustainability, innovative technology and cost-effectiveness.

- The Straits Times, D10

Singapore's private bankers ride the Asian wealth wave

Since the start of the year, UBS Wealth Management has hired close to 400 new people in the region, including 150 private bankers. In the medium term, it is looking to grow the number of private bankers in the Asia-Pacific to 1,200 from the current 900. 'One of the key trends that we are witnessing is how Asia-Pacific remains a key area of focus for the wealth management industry globally,' said Christine Ong, chief executive of UBS Wealth Management in Singapore.

Barclays Wealth, the wealth management and private banking division of Barclays Bank PLC, is doubling its spending on people and technology investments to 700 million pounds (S$1.46 billion) for 2010-2012. Typically, the bank spends about 350 million pounds over three years on the area. A chunk of this investment will go to expanding its operations in Asia, where it wants to double its number of private bankers and quadruple assets under management (AUM) in Asia over the next four years. According to the Capgemini World Wealth Report 2010, the Asia-Pacific's population of high net worth individuals grew 25.8% to some three million last year. Their fortunes have also increased, surging some 30.9% to US$9.7 trillion in 2009, surging past Europe's for the first time.

UOB Private Banking is looking at a 20-25% growth in staff strength 'over the next few years' to support the growing number of high net worth individuals from Singapore and Asia, said Wilson Aw, UOB private banking head.

Citi's private bank is looking to double its headcount in China and hire up to half as many bankers in India. Earlier this year, it said that it will hire some 40 people this year across the Asia-Pacific - based mainly in Singapore and Hong Kong - to serve clients in the region. It now has US$165 billion in AUM in Asia. Globally, it has hired over 100 managing directors and directors, and expects to hire another 300 bankers over the next three years.

The Standard Chartered Private Bank has increased its number of private bankers by 15% year on year in Singapore in the first six months of the year - which saw AUM grow by 15%. The bank now expects full-year growth to be between 20 and 25%. It also expanded its operations in India, where it opened its fifth private banking office earlier this year.

- The Business Times, P4

Condo rentals rising more slowly

Rents for non-landed properties such as condominiums are rising at a slower pace. Latest data from the URA showed such rentals rose just 3.6% in the third quarter, compared to 6% in the preceding quarter and 4.8% in the first quarter. Property analysts said the downward trend indicates that the market has reached a sustainable level and the growth is in tandem with the capital values of property, which have seen slower rates of increase as well. Property prices have stabilised due to the recent cooling measures by the Government. Still, a robust economy that is expected to bring in more foreign workers will likely buoy the rental property market, analysts said. Already demand for rental properties has been growing. Mr Colin Tan, head of research and consultancy at Chesterton Suntec International, said the number of rental contracts increased 5% per month for the first nine months of this year. "The proportion of owner-occupier purchases has come down significantly, so the supply of rental units is actually greater. When supply is higher relative to demand, rentals decline or show a slower pace of increase," he said. For the next year, analysts expect rentals to continue to rise steadily at about 2 to 3% quarterly. "The bulk of supply that we are seeing in mass and mid-end markets will be completed in 2013. That will be 22,000 units coming on board. The market may soften then but rental recovery will be strong for the next 24 months," said Mr Han.

- Today

S'pore firms keep eye on impact of China rate hike

'The rise in interest rates in China will surely increase our financing costs in future. We are still taking a close watch on the situation,' said Joel Leong, chief financial officer (CFO) at Changjiang Fertilizer. 'However, if borrowing costs are too high, we may consider share placement or warrants issuance as another option,' he added. Meanwhile, property developers that BT spoke to - namely, CapitaLand and Yanlord - are still optimistic about China's property market and their operations there. DMG said in its report that CapitaLand could face a bigger fallout than its peers from the policy risks in the Chinese property market as 35% of its revised net asset value comes from China. A CapitaLand spokeswoman later told BT that higher interest rates in China will have an insignificant impact on the group's business. 'Our portfolio is balanced. We are not only in residential development, but also in office buildings, shopping malls, serviced residences, and mixed developments like the ones under our Raffles City brand,' she said. Yanlord's spokeswoman noted that 'demand is still sufficient compared to supply'. The 25 basis-point hike in interest rates is expected to translate to added costs of $2.3 million per annum for a group, which generated $325.4 million of profits last year. While the actual impact of China's rates move can only be ascertained when companies' fourth-quarter results are out, businesses operating in China seem to have grown accustomed to policy changes. Prior to the rate hike, provinces and cities throughout the country have raised their minimum wage levels this year, stung by labour shortages and increased worker unrest. As Mr Koh of Fuxing puts it: 'Policy risks always exist in China. Our business operations just have to factor in such unexpected changes.'

- The Business Times, P2

Indonesia's Q3 growth comes in below forecast at 5.82%

Indonesia's economy grew a lower-than-expected 5.82% n the third quarter from a year earlier, data showed yesterday, surprising economists who had forecast growth of around 6.2%. Of the 13 economists polled by Reuters, none had forecast third-quarter GDP growth of below 6.1%. The central bank had forecast growth of 6.3% in the quarter. 'That is really low,' said Helmi Arman, economist at Bank Danamon in Jakarta. 'The risk to achieving the 6.1% figure for full-year growth is definitely to the downside now.' Quarter-on-quarter GDP growth was 3.45%, Slamet Sutomo, deputy at the country's statistics bureau told a news conference. Analysts said the data made it even more likely that the central bank will keep its policy rate on hold at 6.5% well into 2011.

- The Business Times, P15

Exchange Rates (extracted from xe.com)

1.00 SGD

=

0.779 USD

1.00 SGD

=

5.198 CNY

1.00 SGD

=

2.401 MYR

1.00 SGD

=

0.481 GBP

1.00 SGD

=

862.812 KRW

1.00 SGD

=

34.623 INR

1.00 SGD

=

6,883.49 IDR

ST Index change: 3,240.31 (+15.34) *As at Thu 4 Nov 2010 05:10 PM
SIBOR (3 mths):
0.43889 (S$)

SWAP (3 mths): 0.24726 (S$)

Property Market Updates (3rd November 2010)

Far East plans $100m project at Ten Mile Junction site

Far East Organization is planning to build a $100 million development, comprising 338 small office-home office (SoHo) units and 121,000 sq ft of retail space, at the Ten Mile Junction site it won in a government land tender earlier this year. The developer in February paid $164 million or $437 per sq ft per plot ratio (psf ppr) for the 99-year leasehold site at the junction of Choa Chu Kang and Woodlands roads, which now houses the Ten Mile Junction shopping mall. Far East said it plans to build a residential project with 338 SoHo units and also retrofit the existing retail space to create a new mall called Junction 10. The SoHo project will be called The Tennery and will be launched in the first quarter of 2011. Far East said that more details on The Tennery will be released later this year. In the meantime, the developer has started marketing the retail space in Junction 10. It will spend some $28 million to retrofit existing space to create a 'rail lifestyle' concept. 'The railway history of the area dates as far back as the British colonial era. And with Junction 10's history as a railway junction, it has inspired us to bring to life some aspects of the railway into the mall,' said Chng Kiong Huat, Far East's executive director for development & planning. Supermarket chain Giant has taken up more than 30 per cent of the space at the mall to set up a hypermarket.

- The Business Times, P12

- Also quoted in The Straits Time, B21, “Ten Mile Junction's rail-themed facelift”.



DBSS site at Bedok Reservoir draws six bids

The tender for a land parcel at Bedok Reservoir Crescent, slated for public housing, closed yesterday with six bids received. CEL Development came out tops with a bid of $112.6 million, or $224.3 per sq ft per plot ratio (psf ppr) for the site, which could yield 430 homes under the Design, Build and Sell Scheme (DBSS). Analysts said the top bid was more subdued than bids in the past. The site is located about 10 minutes' walk from Bedok Town Park MRT station, which is expected to be completed in 2017. The top bid could translate to a break-even cost of about $430-$470 psf. The bids varied across a narrower range, compared to the previous tender for a DBSS site at Tampines Avenue 5/Central 8, where the top bid was $261 psf ppr.

- The Straits Times, B4

- Also quoted in The Business Time, P10, “Chip Eng Seng tops bid for DBSS site in Bedok”.



Weeding out rogue property agents

It will take a few years before new rules aimed at weeding out rogue property agents drive down the number of complaints, the Consumers Association of Singapore (Case) said yesterday. Case director Seah Seng Choon made the prediction as it emerged that property agents are among the 10 most-complained-about professions here. A code of conduct for the industry is being enforced by a new statutory body, the Council for Estate Agencies (CEA). The CEA has the authority to fine, suspend or revoke the licences of property agents who break the rules. From Jan 1, only CEA-registered agents will be allowed to work. The new code bans agents from representing both buyer and seller, or referring clients to moneylenders. They must also have a system for handling complaints and follow advertising guidelines.

- The Straits Times, P4



Behind those gyrating home supply estimates

A recent presentation on the estimated supply of private housing units in the pipeline has reignited the debate about the accuracy of official estimates. The presentation - by real estate firm International Property Advisor (IPA) - highlighted the fact that the number of private homes that are projected to be completed each year has fluctuated broadly over time. The URA compiles the number on a quarterly basis. URA said the estimated supply of private housing units in the pipeline is computed based on the expected completion dates of projects with planning approval (either provisional permission or written permission), which is obtained through URA's quarterly survey of developers. Analysts said that what is cause for concern now is that there are no pipeline figures for 2011 and 2012 that can be taken to be reasonably accurate - at a time when the sentiment in the real estate market is uncertain and more government measures to cool the property market could be on the horizon. The Ministry of National Development (MND) takes into consideration the pipeline supply when it plans its half-yearly government land sales (GLS) programme. Market consensus is that as the end of 2010 approaches, Singapore can expect another climb in the number of expected completions for both 2011 and 2012. The estimated supply of private homes due to be completed in 2011 has already fluctuated greatly since end-2006. In Q4 2006, URA said 5,876 new private homes would be completed in 2011. The estimate rose to 20,492 in Q1 2008 before dropping sharply to 9,196 in Q4 2009. In Q3 this year, an estimated 6,766 homes were expected to be completed in 2011.

- The Business Times, P1



Govt keeping a close eye on property market

Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong said that the Government is keeping a close eye on the property market to avert the formation of an asset bubble. Recent measures to cool the market have dampened sentiment, but liquidity is awash in the region. The latest Government measures to stem overheating include reducing the maximum loan for buying a second residential property, imposing stamp duty on owners who sell properties within three years of buying them and tighter restrictions on those buying HDB resale flats. As for Singapore's future, Mr Lee said it could define itself as one of the world's most attractive global financial centres with a less reactive approach to currently emotional issues like regulation.

- The Straits Times, P3

- Also quoted in The Business Time, P2, “Govt keeps careful watch on property market: PM”.



Consumer confidence still positive: Nielsen survey

Consumer confidence here has remained 'unwavering' and 'positive' as compared to the last quarter, according to the Nielsen Global Consumer Confidence Index. The marginal increase of the index from 112 to 113 this time round could indicate consumers are confident on continued economic recovery. On Singaporeans' personal finances, the majority (72 %) felt that they were in good or excellent states. About 50% felt that now is the right time to buy things they want. The global average was 35%.

- The Business Times, P11

Wednesday, January 21

HAPPY CHINESE NEW YEAR!!!

HAPPY CHINESE NEW YEAR!!!

Thursday, January 1

HAPPY NEW YEAR 2009!!!

HAPPY NEW YEAR 2009!!!