Monday, December 13

Property Market Updates (1 Dec 2010)

Hawaii Tower up for en bloc sale


One of the biggest collective sale sites in dollar terms so far this year is expected to be launched for sale next week. Hawaii Tower, on Meyer Road, has a reserve price of $700 million. This works out to about $1,401 psf ppr inclusive of a DC of about $55 million. The all-in investment for the successful developer of the 192,340 sq ft freehold site is expected to be around $1 billion. Based on the unit land price of $1,401 psf ppr, the breakeven cost for a new luxury condo project on the site could be about $1,950-2,100 psf. A 25th floor unit at the nearby Aalto was transacted at $2,373 psf this month. Over at Seafront@Meyer, units on the 17-20th floors have traded at $1,875-2,051 psf in the past few months. The Hawaii Tower site is zoned for residential use with a 2.8 plot ratio and height of up to 36 storeys. The plot may potentially be developed into a new condo project with about 345 units of an avg size of 1,500 sq ft or 430 units averaging 1,200 sq ft. A new development on the site will boast unobstructed views towards the sea, Marina Bay Sands and the city skyline as well as the Mountbatten landed housing estate. The regular-shaped plot has frontage of over 130 metres along both Meyer Road and the East Coast Parkway. CB Richard Ellis is marketing Hawaii Tower's collective sale through a tender which will close on Jan 26. Owners controlling slightly over 80 per cent of share values and strata floor area have signed the collective sale agreement. They stand to receive about $5-million-plus per apartment and $8.8-million-plus per penthouse. Hawaii Tower comprises three blocks holding 129 apartments of about 2,200 sq ft each and six penthouses of about 4,300 sq ft each. Two land deals in the vicinity earlier this year - two adjacent bungalows at Margate Road that sold for $1,023 psf ppr including DC, and 16 terrace houses at Fort Road which fetched about $1,080 psf ppr including DC and the estimated cost of buying a cul-de-sac from the state.

- The Business Times, P12

Developers may baulk at price tags

More and larger collective sales are in the pipeline as home owners attempt to cash in on the hot property market. Hawaii Tower along Meyer Road is among those in the latest batch to have secured the necessary 80 per cent approval from residents, along with former HUDC estate Pine Grove. And more than 53 per cent support has been secured so far in the collective sale process for Pearl Bank apartments in Outram. Although more collective sale tenders are expected to come on the market in the first half of next year, experts say a wide gulf could be opening up between owners' asking price expectations and what developers are willing to pay. They add that high reserve prices and the bumper release of state land in the government land sales programme might reduce demand from developers. Development charges have increased substantially and the new rules regarding the completion period for developers with foreign shareholders would place further downward pressure on what developers are willing to bid. But property market watchers say developers are often keen on such sites as they provide an opportunity to purchase freehold land in prime locations, unlike those from the government land sales programme, which are on 99-year leases.

- The Straits Time, B26

Exec condo surprises with DPS option

NTUC Choice Homes Co-operative (NCH) and Chip Eng Seng (CES) are launching an executive condominium (EC) project in Punggol with a surprising feature - a deferred payment scheme (DPS). Many in the property industry had assumed that the DPS was entirely scrapped in the boom year of 2007 to curb speculation. The two developers' move could trigger owners of other EC projects to also offer DPS. NCH and CES are behind the 99-year-leasehold Prive, the first EC to come up in Punggol. The site is at the junction of Punggol Field and Punggol Road, and average selling prices will be between $660 and $690 per square foot (psf). There will be 680 apartments ranging from two to four-bedders, located across four 17-storey towers. The developers bought the plot from the government in June this year. The developers will open the sales gallery on Dec 3 and allow viewings and applications up until Dec 7. Bookings will start on Dec 10 and home seekers have to gain entry to the gallery that day through a ballot. Developers of two earlier EC projects - Esparina Residences and The Canopy - did not offer DPS. Several developers and consultants whom BT spoke to were surprised to learn that DPS was allowed for EC projects. In October 2007, the government withdrew DPS for the sale of uncompleted private residential, commercial and industrial properties. The news release made no mention of ECs then. Following some checks yesterday, BT understands that the withdrawal of DPS in 2007 did not apply to ECs.

- The Business Times, P2

Upper Serangoon DBSS site draws just 2 bids

A land parcel offered for sale under the Design, Build and Sell Scheme (DBSS) at Upper Serangoon Road received just two bids at the close of the government tender. A unit of Low Keng Huat (Singapore) made the higher bid of $155.2 million. The price works out to $206 psf ppr. Based on the tender price, Low Keng Huat will be looking to sell the upcoming flats on the site at about $500-540 psf. New sites for private residential developments in the vicinity are now being sold for upwards of $300 psf ppr. ERA's data shows that four-room resale HDB flats in the area are selling for $400,000-420,000 while five-room resale flats are going for around $500,000-540,000. The 103-year leasehold site along Upper Serangoon Road is about 215,300 sq ft in size and has a maximum allowable gross floor area of 753,500 sq ft. It can accommodate an estimated 630 units.

- The Business Times, P1

- Also quoted in The Straits Time, B25, “Condo-style public housing plot attracts only two bids”.

Employment at highest level since 1991

Singapore’s robust economic recovery and tight labour market over the past year have brought cheer for workers on several fronts, going by data in a just-released report on employment and earnings. Employment among residents which is at its highest level since 1991 - when the Government started collecting and publishing data on the resident workforce and employment rate - was fuelled in part by more women and older residents being attracted to join the workforce. Also encouraging in the Singapore Workforce 2010 report, released yesterday by the Manpower Ministry, was data which showed a modest drop in the number of low-wage workers - those who earn $1,200 or less a month. There were 262,700 such workers holding full-time jobs in June this year - less than the 275,000 in June last year. The chief reason for the dip: They graduated to higher-paying jobs on the back of the stronger economy.

- The Straits Times, P1

- Also quoted in The Business Time, P2, “Economic recovery pulls up job numbers”.

India's GDP surges for 3rd straight quarter

India's economic growth has exceeded 8 per cent for the third straight quarter, adding to evidence of a strengthening in domestic demand that has stoked inflation by placing strains on the nation's transport and power systems. Gross domestic product rose 8.9 per cent in the three months through September from a year earlier, matching the revised pace of growth in the previous quarter, the Central Statistical Organisation said in a statement in New Delhi yesterday. That was above the 8.2 per cent median estimate of 30 economists. Consumer prices are rising at a pace near 10 per cent, the fastest in the G-20 nations after Argentina. In comparison, the economy expanded 1.9 per cent last quarter in the 16-nation eurozone, 2.5 per cent in the US and 9.6 per cent in China.

- The Business Time, P16

INDIA - Indian developers face higher loan rates

India's real- estate developers may face rising borrowing costs and shrinking access to credit, as record corporate lending slows amid a bribery probe that led to the arrests of eight executives. The combination of the regulatory review and tighter central bank provisioning rules may cause rates on loans for developers to rise as much as 200 basis points, or two percentage points. Property companies in emerging markets are facing rising loan costs as central banks tighten policy to guard against concerns that monetary expansion by central banks in Europe and the United States will fuel asset bubbles. Indian developers that had managed to repair balance sheets after the global credit crisis may face delayed loan approvals. Bank financing will now be subjected to more screening and approvals, forcing developers to rely on cash flows and sales of property to service debt.

- The Business Times, P16

Exchange Rates (extracted from xe.com)

1.00 SGD = 0.75 USD

1.00 SGD = 5.04 CNY

1.00 SGD = 2.39 MYR

1.00 SGD = 0.48 GBP

1.00 SGD = 857.71 KRW

1.00 SGD = 34.69 INR

1.00 SGD = 6,837.39 IDR

ST Index change: 3,144.70 (-13.51) *As at Wed 1 Dec 2010 09:26 AM
SIBOR (3 mths):
0.43890 (S$)

SWAP (3 mths): 0.31367 (S$)

Property Market Updates (30 Nov 2010)

Punggol Town Centre site up for bidding

HDB is launching a tender for a mixed commercial and residential site in Punggol Town Centre - the first site sale along the Punggol Waterway - and industry watchers expect the site to see healthy interest. Located at the junction of Punggol Central and Punggol Walk, the 99-year leasehold site has a maximum permissible gross floor area of 1.4 million sq ft. According to HDB, the site can potentially yield 542,501 sq ft of gross commercial space, and 685 dwelling units. It has a project completion period of seven years from the date of acceptance of the tender. The site expected to draw about seven bids, with the expected winner to fork out between $400- $450 psf ppr. Assuming that the project is launched in the second half of next year, the expected selling price of the apartments should be between $800-$850 psf.

- The Business Times, P35

URA releases sales conditions for 2 industrial sites

URA released the detailed sales conditions for two industrial sites: one at Kaki Bukit and another at Tuas View Square. These are two of the four new industrial sites to be released for sale under the Reserve List of the second half 2010 Industrial Government Land Sales Programme. The 30-year leasehold land parcel at Kaki Bukit Road 4 has a site area of about 2.45 ha and a maximum permissible gross plot ratio of 1. It is zoned for Business 2 development. Under the Business 2 zoning, the site can be developed for uses such as light industry, general industry, and warehousing. The second plot at Tuas View Square has a site area of about 0.44 ha and a maximum permissible gross plot ratio of 0.9. It will have a lease period of 45 years and has also been zoned for Business 2 development. The use of land in the area is 'highly specific and predominated by end-users including marine, pharmaceutical and engineering services'. Developers interested in purchasing the sites can now apply to URA for them to be put up for tender.

- The Business Times, P35

Bukit Panjang LRT and MRT to be linked

A new bus interchange between the existing LRT station and a new station on the Downtown MRT Line in Bukit Panjang will allow commuters to seamlessly transfer from either line. The interchange - which may be air-conditioned - will be integrated with residential and commercial developments on a site in Jelebu Road and Petir Road.

The 1.89ha site, now partly occupied by an open-air bus interchange, was offered up for sale last Friday by the URA. The Downtown Line, scheduled to come up in 2015, is to be situated 120m from the LRT line, making transfers inconvenient. The bus interchange will provide a seamless link. The site on sale has a 99-year lease with a maximum permissible gross floor area of 56,864 sq m, with at least 35per cent of this area set aside for commercial use, the URA said. The MRT station, scheduled to open by 2015, is part of the Downtown Line that will run to the city centre, to places such as Bugis and Marina Bay. The Bukit Panjang development is in line with efforts to make public transport attractive, by making transfers seamless between bus and rail, as well as to link commuters to commercial activities. Similar public transport hubs operate in Toa Payoh, Sengkang, Ang Mo Kio and Boon Lay. Two others, in Serangoon and Clementi, are due to open by next year.

- The Straits Time, B4

New rule may weigh on prices of luxury condos

Many developers have picked their time to launch developments when sentiments are good and decent prices can be charged. But under the rule changes which are expected to kick in early next year, they may lose this luxury. If they bust the project completion period on sites bought from private sector sources, they stand to lose not just the 10 per cent bankers' guarantee for land cost, but could also end up making huge payments for time extension. All this could force them to launch earlier than they might like and affect prices. The median price of new luxury condo transactions stood at $3,265 per square foot in Q3 this year, an increase of 18.7 per cent year to date. A question mark now hangs over whether the previous peak median price of $3,750 psf can be scaled next year. The catch is the amendment to the Residential Property Act that will apply to private residential projects undertaken by foreign housing developers with Qualifying Certificates (QCs), a category which effectively covers all listed developers. Such projects, built on residential sites bought from private-sector sources, will in future have to be completed within the stipulated project completion period (PCP). Otherwise, the developers may not only lose their bankers' guarantees as is the case currently but also have to pay the state for any time extension. Below estimates by BT show that generally developers who bought sites through collective sales and other private sector sources in the 2006-2007 period are likely to have to complete their projects on them by 2014-2015, if they don't wish to make hefty payments to the state for any time extension.

- The Business Times, P1

Non-landed private home prices fall 0.7% in October

Prices of non-landed private homes fell 0.7 % in October, according to the monthly index compiled by the National University of Singapore (NUS). NUS' Singapore Residential Price Index (SRPI) shows overall home prices fell last month, after having climbed 1.1 % per month in both August and September. The last time the overall index fell was in July, when it dipped 0.1 %. NUS has been compiling the index since March this year. October's drop was caused by falling prices in the 'central' and 'non-central' locations. Home prices in central locations fell 1.1 % last month, after climbing 0.9 % in September. The central SRPI last fell in July, by 0.8 %. The non-central SRPI dipped 0.5 % in October - the first time it has fallen since NUS started compiling the index. The non- central SRPI rose 1.3 % in September. Year-to-date, the overall SRPI is up 10.7 %. Non-central prices are up 12.8 %, while prices in the central region have climbed a smaller 8.1 %. As a result, the overall SRPI flash estimate for October is 7.6 % above its November 2007 high. Analysts expect mass market home prices to moderate, given the impending large supply of development sites being offered for sale by the government. But it will have little impact on the mid-tier and luxury home prices, which could rise further, given the positive economic outlook for next year. NUS' index, which is compiled by the Institute of Real Estate Studies, was launched to serve as a resource for developing property derivatives in Singapore. It is computed using the market values of a basket of completed properties. Uncompleted projects are not included in the basket, as price movements for such projects can be different from those in the rest of the market. But the impact of new launches on the prices of completed properties in the vicinity is factored in.

- The Business Times, P35

Economists raise S'pore's growth forecasts for 2011

With 2011 just a month away, several economists have raised their growth forecasts for the Singapore economy next year - to beyond the official forecast range in some cases. Coming to the fore as a prime driver of this growth will be the services sector, even as the challenges of managing inflation and capital inflows persist. The Ministry of Trade and Industry is now looking at 4 to 6 per cent growth for 2011, which will be a sharp moderation from this year's record recovery but stays above the economy's estimated underlying growth potential of 3-5 per cent. Robust services growth will be led by tourism-related activities and the 'other services' segment which captures the two integrated resorts' contributions. Financial services are expected to be another key growth segment under services, as global firms position themselves to leverage on Asian growth. Regulatory tightening elsewhere has encouraged financial services firms to relocate some operations to Singapore.

- The Business Times, P2

Dutch company makes S'pore its regional base

A Dutch company which makes highly advanced chemical and food products has opened a regional hub here. Royal DSM will use its hub in the Apollo Centre in Havelock Road as a base, to help four of its units expand into the Asia-Pacific region.

The units make everything from super-strong fibres and plastics to special food products like enzymes and yeast extracts, and nutritional products such as vitamins and carotenoids. DSM Dyneema plans to open a technology centre here which will focus on life protection products, including devices like bulletproof cockpit doors in aircraft, said its parent company yesterday. Mr Pieter Nuboer, managing director of DSM Singapore, told a briefing yesterday that the number of employees here - now numbering about 180 - 'will definitely go up', though he declined to give a specific figure. He also explained why the company chose Singapore as its regional base.

'There is a big pool of high-quality talent in Singapore, and we also wish to tap into the huge investments that the Government is making in research and development,' Mr Nuboer said.

- The Straits Time, B15

Exchange Rates (extracted from xe.com)

1.00 SGD = 0.75 USD

1.00 SGD = 5.05 CNY

1.00 SGD = 2.39 MYR

1.00 SGD = 0.48 GBP

1.00 SGD = 876.34 KRW

1.00 SGD = 34.81 INR

1.00 SGD = 6,835.68 IDR

ST Index change: 3,163.86 (+5.65) *As at Tue 30 Nov 2010 09:32 AM
SIBOR (3 mths): 0.43890 (S$)

SWAP (3 mths): 0.31393 (S$)